Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-26 0.000788 0.000899 0.001017 0.001151 0.001298 0.001454 0.001632
2025-02-02 0.000626 0.000783 0.000960 0.001174 0.001423 0.001703 0.002039
2025-02-09 0.000520 0.000692 0.000897 0.001153 0.001464 0.001825 0.002272
2025-02-16 0.000437 0.000617 0.000840 0.001130 0.001494 0.001928 0.002481
2025-02-23 0.000388 0.000577 0.000818 0.001143 0.001561 0.002073 0.002738
2025-03-02 0.000346 0.000539 0.000796 0.001151 0.001619 0.002204 0.002978
2025-03-09 0.000297 0.000487 0.000748 0.001119 0.001622 0.002263 0.003127
2025-03-16 0.000255 0.000440 0.000703 0.001087 0.001619 0.002312 0.003261
2025-03-23 0.000228 0.000412 0.000681 0.001085 0.001655 0.002409 0.003459
2025-03-30 0.000205 0.000388 0.000662 0.001084 0.001691 0.002507 0.003657
2025-04-06 0.000183 0.000361 0.000638 0.001073 0.001711 0.002583 0.003827
2025-04-13 0.000161 0.000333 0.000609 0.001052 0.001716 0.002636 0.003966
2025-04-20 0.000150 0.000323 0.000608 0.001075 0.001785 0.002780 0.004235
2025-04-27 0.000139 0.000312 0.000604 0.001093 0.001847 0.002918 0.004498
2025-05-04 0.000123 0.000289 0.000579 0.001075 0.001854 0.002976 0.004650
2025-05-11 0.000107 0.000267 0.000552 0.001053 0.001853 0.003021 0.004784
2025-05-18 0.000099 0.000257 0.000547 0.001066 0.001905 0.003144 0.005030
2025-05-25 0.000091 0.000247 0.000540 0.001073 0.001948 0.003255 0.005261
2025-06-01 0.000079 0.000225 0.000511 0.001043 0.001932 0.003275 0.005361
2025-06-08 0.000068 0.000206 0.000483 0.001012 0.001912 0.003290 0.005451
2025-06-15 0.000062 0.000195 0.000472 0.001010 0.001938 0.003374 0.005644
2025-06-22 0.000056 0.000185 0.000462 0.001009 0.001966 0.003460 0.005842
2025-06-29 0.000050 0.000174 0.000447 0.000999 0.001977 0.003521 0.006002